This tool allows users to examine the statistical relationships between antecedent climate and wildfire variability. Regression relationships between wildfire statistics and climate variables were developed for southeast Arizona using data from the period of 1973-2001

• Examine how precipitation, temperature, and drought indices statistically relate to the total area burned and total number of fires across southeast Arizona.
• Assess how past and current climate conditions might relate to the upcoming wildfire season.

Select the 'Total Area Burned (High Elevation)' equation and 1983 as the year. Note the predicted total area burned from the regression equation and the values of the climate variables. Click the 'Next Year' link until you reach 1986. How did the climate variables change? How did these changes impact the predicted total burned?